The NRO's former prosecutor, Andrew McCarthy has been saying that Mueller is gearing up to exonerate Trump and charge a bunch of his people with crimes not-related to the campaign. Why? Well, because they charged Flynn with lying to the FBI. He says--and this makes sense--that when you are going after a conspiracy charge, you don't charge your (supposedly) key witness with being a liar--you charge them with the conspiracy. This makes sense. When you charge them with being a liar it's because you are hunting something else--like Obstruction of Justice, maybe--not conspiracy to collude with Russia.
The Omnivore's calculus has changed on this--and not necessarily in a "good" way. What has changed?
The Omnivore has finally seen some legal analysis that makes as much sense as McCarthy's position: that the way that Mueller charged Flynn indicates he is serious--but reveals nothing. If Flynn had been charged with conspiracy to collude with Russia, the analysis said (can't find link right now) it would have given away strategy. It would have put cards on the table. Mueller hasn't--and very, very intentionally hasn't done that. This, to the lay-Omnivore's-eye makes sense at least on par with McCarthy's analysis. So who knows.
The Problem: Conspiracy Theory
The Omnivore's Twitter-Truther-Friend believes there was rampant election fraud in Alabama. He believes this for lots of reasons--but his go-to, and The Omnivore is not making this up, is a video of a Doug Jones volunteer who, in the midst of a Doug Jones-just-got-elected party is asked why he's so excited and says he and his friend volunteers came in from out of state and went door to door motivating people 'and voted.'
For Truthers this is an admission on video--from "the top" (it's a rando dude) that the bussed in activist illegally voted. It's RIGHT THERE ON VIDEO.
He also re-tweet's Bill Mitchell's statement that "election experts" claim there were "massive anomalies" in the AL vote. To be fair, here, Moore probably does believe the vote against him was illegitimate. After all, those black votes should only count 3/5ths and the women's votes shouldn't count at all.
But to the faithful--to the Roy Moore / Trump-voters--nothing can ever be convincing if it is bad about their candidate. They are easily persuaded that one of (apparently) the most stand-up guys in law-enforcement--one whom many Republicans breathed a sigh of relief when he was appointed--is now a political hitman working for the Clintons.
This is #pizzagate-level stupid--but then a surprising number of these guys believe in #pizzagate too.
Even pretty rational Trump-supporters The Omnivore sees online--are convinced that the fix is in because there is no "appearance of fairness" and Mueller was in charge when the Uranium / Iran stuff was happening. So they think he's clearly dirty.
The problem here is that there is no one other than Sean Hannity who could conduct the investigation and come away with proof of guilt. How does The Omnivore know? Simple: the people who believe this are getting their information filtered by Sean Hannity and other people like him. These people can present evidence so as to make a cogent case (by only showing a little piece of it) that Mueller is dirty--so they believe he's dirty.
Does it pass the sniff test? That Mueller has thrown away a lifetime of Republican principle and ethical behavior to go after Trump in illegal and immoral ways? Sure--but for the same reason it's okay for Trump to lie and self-deal and all that: because if you support Trump you have to believe that the deck is cheatingly stacked against him--so it's okay if he cheats back.
In other words: the conspiracy against Trump is baked into the Trump-position from the start. If the game isn't rigged, you don't need Trump. If you like Trump, ergo, the game is rigged.
So when / if Mueller does charge Trump with something--and it meets a lot of people's standards of reasonability--but not Trump Supporters (which it cannot) what happens?
Well, you know what happens: Trump's popularity dives. Democrats take the House. If they get the Senate--and get Pence indicted in the bargain? Who winds up in the Oval Office?
First Woman President: Nancy Pelosi.
The Omnivore warned y'all.